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The Opportunities Analysis helps identify a range of potential economic positioning and real estate strategies that inform the physical design plan for the DDA district. Its purpose is to raise awareness of some of the untapped market potentials within the region that could help develop a focused identity for the district and help differentiate it within the regional market. By focusing on these untapped markets, the growth of the East Towne Village area will not depend on the decline of other areas within the region.

In short, the Opportunities Analysis helps answer the question, “What economic role will the DDA district play within the metropolitan area and the central Michigan region?” It also shows, conceptually, how and where these opportunities can materialize on the land, and equally important, the Opportunities Analysis will explore strategies to help the lifestyle center, and the entire DDA district, retain its economic vitality over time

MARKET SUSTAINABILITY
The addition of Eastwood Towne Center to the DDA district poses many strong opportunities as well as challenges. It has emerged as a major shopping attraction within the metropolitan Lansing area and stimulated a great deal of investment interest throughout the district and surrounding communities.

At present, it appears the investor/developer community views the area primarily as a magnet for further retail development because of its retail success. While this position may hold the promise of a significant and immediate amount of new development, it could very easily result in the district becoming a single-use zone dominated by automobiles, without a built-in market of customers who might actually live and/or work in the immediate area. However, such a captive market will help sustain the retail component, and insure it against marginalization or outright abandonment when the next new thing in retail is developed elsewhere in the region. Experience shows that the most successful shopping environments are part of a distinct community that contains other uses and activities, such as employment, recreation, and housing. Stand alone commercial centers - including many built fairly recently - have proven to be vulnerable to the fickle fads and fashions of the highly competitive retail industry. This vulnerability is especially apparent in projects that position themselves principally as regional centers.

In general, the larger trade area from which a project draws, the higher its susceptibility to being cannibalized by a new regional center. (If people were willing to drive 30 minutes or more to Eastwood, they would be just as willing to drive 30 minutes to experience the next new regional retail center.) In response, many new lifestyle centers include upscale grocery stores as anchor, or primary tenants. This stable land use provides a hedge, and casts the lifestyle center in a dual role as both regional center and local service area.

CREATING PLACE
The idea of ‘placemaking’ is central to Governor Granholm’s Cool Cities Initiative. Although the lifestyle center literally put the DDA district on the regional economic map, and is a vast improvement in both the quality and mix of retail development in the region, it still lacks many of the ingredients and activities that define a place. Missing pieces include non-retail employment, housing, recreation, and civic uses, as well as a genuine public realm where people can gather and socialize without having to make a purchase. Other ingredients include a balance of evening and daytime activities, a greater complement of entertainment and recreation opportunities, community-wide walkability, and consistent attention to high-quality design.

AN URBAN VILLAGE FOR AN URBAN LIFESTYLE
A major factor driving the success of many mixed use communities, including many new or restored downtown developments, is the country’s changing demographic patterns. Trends show a general aging of the population along with higher numbers of smaller households including single person/parent households. Another factor has to do with a widespread general dissatisfaction with suburban living. The convention of a detached single family house on a large lot in the suburbs simply does not meet the lifestyle needs or social expectations of many empty nesters, retirees, young professionals, and dual-income couples without children. Many of these groups crave alternative scenes and neighborhoods, and have flocked to communities where there is a richness of activities, diversity, identity, and architecture. The desire to live in non-suburban alternatives has fueled the well documented back-to-the-city phenomenon of the past twenty years, which has manifested itself in a plethora of exciting downtown warehouse districts, neo-traditional neighborhoods, and new, mixed use urban villages.

In addition to downtown living, a market tested format that appeals to many younger professionals and retirees is the “Urban Village” or satellite district that is tethered to downtown via a major transportation spine. Although the Lansing area has been quite slow to respond to this trend, there is evidence that a fledgling market for this type of lifestyle does exist here (e.g. Old Town, the Hawks Nest development in East Lansing's Northern Tier, and the recently announced Stockwell neo-traditional project in Meridian Township). As a capitol/university city, the area also has a demographic profile and a regional stature that is favorable to alternative, urban-oriented lifestyles. The planning and design of such a district is the focus of this DDA district master plan.

The lack of condominium and loft conversion projects in Downtown Lansing suggests that downtown suffers from a weak real estate market that could be attributed to perceptions of safety, lack of shopping, and poor public services. It could also suggest that the local development community is extremely conservative and/or suffers from a general lack of vision. In either case, the dearth of downtown residential redevelopment suggests that this market may be quicker to take root in a place like the DDA district, which is close to downtown yet remains at a comfortable arm’s length.

SPECIAL MARKET OPPORTUNITIES
This plan was developed in conjunction with, and informed by, a detailed market strategy study performed by Anderson Economic Group. The purpose of the study was to gauge the relative strengths and weaknesses of the local market over a range of land use categories and business types; offer professional opinions on the competitive position of the DDA district relative to the region; and approximate the capacity of the market to absorb new growth (measured in terms of square footage per land use category) to the year 2010. The study evaluated traditional market sectors as well as specific niche markets that are expected to create symbiotic relationships with existing and proposed land uses. The opportunities identified through this analysis are for new market creation, not cannibalization of markets from other locations in the Lansing area.

Although the study covered a trade area that is much larger than the DDA district, it provided a useful barometer in guiding the mix and the amount of various land uses shown in the plan. A complete copy of the study is included as Appendix A. The consultant team believes that the incorporation of niche markets into the district will reinforce the strength of the retail components and differentiate its offerings from those in the metro area and region. The niche markets explored included:

DESIGN CENTER - A design center concept for the northern extension of the lifestyle center that would include high-end home furnishings and renovation products, with supporting professional services, such as interior design and architecture

RETIREMENT HOUSING - An age-in-place community in the Medical Campus that would provide a continuum of senior housing and assisted living options in a high amenity environment with access to local medical services

MEDICAL OFFICE CLUSTER - Such development would build on the existing group of medical buildings west of Wood Road and would be further supported by adjacent retirement housing

CORPORATE FLAGSHIP - A corporate headquarters and high quality hotel for a portion of land abutting U.S.127 that could capitalize on the convenient access from, and market visibility of this location as well as the amenities of the lifestyle center and future residential, and proximity to the airport and MSU

URBAN LIFESTYLE HOUSING - Centrally located housing, including low- to middensity condominiums, townhouses, and apartments, within mixed use areas and along an extension of the Groesbeck Golf Course/Greenway

SPECIALTY FOODS - Boutique grocery for the area surrounding the Krispy Kreme that capitalizes on the growing “slow food” trend of higher quality and organic foods, wine, and kitchen equipment. This area could be linked with potential for greenhouse farming on the reclaimed portions of the Granger Landfill

 
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